I
find it amusing these days to see that just about every presidential dreamer
thinks they have achieved the key to being the preferred presidential choice of
that segment of the electorate that is Latino.
Particularly
since I don’t think any of them have a clue as to what Latino voters are
thinking, or how to really reach out to them.
OTHER
THAN SAYING a majority of Latino voters will ultimately pick the Democratic
nominee for president, nobody knows what will happen.
And
quite frankly, that prediction doesn’t mean much. Let’s not forget that back in
2004, Democrat John Kerry took 56 percent of the Latino vote. Yet the real
story is that Republican opponent George W. Bush allegedly got 44 percent of
the Latino vote – a record high and a significant factor in his re-election
victory that year.
Republicans
don’t have to win the Latino vote to win presidential elections. In fact, I
believe the last thing any of them would want to do is to appeal to a majority
of Latino voters.
It
would mean Latinos would expect things from them in return, and that would
invariably offend their voter base of those white people who WANT to have a
presidential candidate who will neglect the Latino segment of our society.
IN
SHORT, SOMEONE like Donald Trump who kicked off his campaign with offensive
remarks about Mexican people and recently stepped up the rhetoric by
complaining about the federal judge who is presiding over a trial related to a
lawsuit against his Trump University programs that defrauded their students.
Trump
claims that because the judge is of Mexican ethnic origins (actually a native
of East Chicago, Ind. – that community just across the state line with a 52
percent Latino majority population) he naturally can’t be trusted to be fair to
Trump.
Yet
Trump has also spewed nonsense rhetoric about how he can take enough of the
Latino vote to cut into any voter support that a Democratic challenger would be
counting on.
It’s
true that some Latinos will vote for Donald, or any other Republican. Largely
because they’re so eager to be thought of as “white” (or more accurately, not
thought of as “black”) that they will tolerate whatever hostile rhetoric that
GOP officials spew about them.
BUT
TRUMP HAS a serious chance of sinking below the 27 percent of the Latino vote
that Republican Mitt Romney took the last election – one in which Barack Obama
got that overwhelming 72 percent of the Latino vote.
Not
because we really thought that highly of Obama – all the rhetoric about him
being the “deporter in chief” existed back then too. It’s that we thought even
less of the guy with the delusions about “self-deportation.” We knew who was
more hostile toward us, and we voted against him in great numbers.
Just
as will happen to Trump come November. We will vote against “el Donaldo” at a
record-setting rate. We'll react like Rep. Filemon Vela, D-Texas, the Congressman who told Trump to stick his talk of a U.S./Mexico border wall up his culo come Election Day.
But
who do we vote for? That remains to be seen.
IT
WAS INTERESTING to see the Puerto Rico primary on Sunday that went solidly for
Hillary Clinton. How many Puerto Ricans on the mainland will follow the lead of
their country cousins?
There’s
also the California primary scheduled for Tuesday, where news reports indicate
that long-shot challenger Bernie Sanders thinks that younger Latino voters will
split from their elders and support him – thereby making it possible for him to
win that state’s primary.
That
would be a blow to Clinton’s image of being able to unify Democratic voters.
But Hillary is still so far ahead in the delegate count that she likely still
wins the delegate count – and the presidential nomination.
Also,
quite possibly, a majority of the Latino vote; unless we decide to collectively
fall asleep while wearing a sombrero, take a siesta and miss Election Day altogether
– which probably is the Trump campaign’s great fantasy. And also Trump’s only
chance en infierno of not getting his
clock cleaned by Latino voters.
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