Yet the reality is that there will be a certain amount of tradeoffs that will occur.
FOR
EVERY SINGLE post that Democrats manage to swing away from the Republican
column, there will be a few that manage to flip the other way.
And
among the most likely flips that could take place as a result of Nov. 6
involves our very own top-ranking officials in Illinois and Indiana.
There are many political observers
convinced that Bruce Rauner is likely to go following Election Day. We in
Illinois will have a governor in the “Democrat” column largely by default – a majority
of us feel that much contempt for the guy we’ve got now and aren’t willing to
give him “four more years.”
While in Indiana, there’s the fight for a U.S.
Senate seat currently held by Joe Donnelly, a Democrat from South Bend. A fact
that bothers the Republican Party establishment that runs government throughout
the Hoosier State.
RAUNER: Most unpopular gov seeking re-election |
IS THE MIDWESTERN political scene one in
which the Democrats will take a governor’s seat in Illinois, while the Republicans
gain a Senate seat in Indiana?
Morning Consult has come out with various
polls showing Rauner is the most unpopular governor seeking re-election this
year, while Donnelly’s chances of getting re-elected are not overwhelming at
this point in time.
The political party establishments in both
states are inclined to think that such an outcome is appropriate, because they
want to believe the fact that Rauner and Donnelly got elected in the first
place is a total fluke.
DONNELLY: A big bullseye on his back? |
There’s no way that apathy will recur in
2018. Rauner has managed to tick off so many Democrats, and even a good-sized
portion of the Republican establishment, that he has a mere 27 percent approval
rating these days.
Donnelly faces similar circumstances, in
that his 2012 election victory was equally fluky. He beat Richard Mourdock, the
former state treasurer, because so many people became offended when Mourdock
made comments during a debate about how women who become pregnant as a result
of rape is “something that God intended.”
Would these two restore natural order … |
That was his way of justifying not
permitting abortion even in instances of sexual assault. Chances are good if
Mourdock hadn’t been that dense (or if long-time Sen. Richard Lugar had won in
the Republican primary), the Republican would have prevailed in the general
election six years ago.
DOES ANYBODY THINK that Braun, an auto
parts distribution business owner who’s wealthy enough to fund his own
campaign, will be equally clueless? Donnelly would have to be the luckiest man
alive to get another political break of the one that allowed him to slip past
Mourdock.
… to politics in Illinois/Indiana? |
Considering that Indiana has a governor
with a 52 percent approval rating with Donnelly only 41 percent (with 34
percent disapproving and 25 percent of people who can’t make up their minds),
it’s likely that many people are waiting for the chance to vote against the
incumbent.
Donnelly could be the guy who winds up
carrying nothing more of the vote than Gary on Election Day.
Many voters in both states might think it
appropriate if the two major political parties did a swap that strengthened the
overall majorities – what with President Donald Trump having 38 percent
approval in Illinois, but 51 percent approval in Indiana. It also would reinforce the view each state has of the other -- that of a Bizarro-world version of itself.
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