EMANUEL: Going nowhere anytime soon |
As
though someone is trying to create the impression that the people are ready to
put Emanuel’s head on a pike in front of the Picasso statue come the 2015
election cycle.
WHICH
MIGHT WELL be what the Chicago Teachers Union wants to believe. Although I
suspect there are certain elements in Chicago that would love to tell the
teachers union to “Stuff it!,” and would probably turn out in force to back
Rahm to make that very statement.
Not
that I think they’re necessarily approving of the efforts Emanuel has made with
regard to the Chicago Public Schools that would involve the closing of schools
in several inner-city neighborhoods.
They’re
just not going to want to be seen on the same side as teachers union boss Karen
Lewis – even if she is making sense on several points.
For those who think that the declining African-American support for Emanuel means a black candidate might have a chance, I'd argue that the "black" candidate in 2011 would have done much better if it had been anybody other than Carol Moseley-Braun! Which is why I seriously expect the 2015 municipal elections to be a snooze when it comes for mayor.
FOR
ONE THING, those approval numbers in the Chicago Tribune-sponsored poll that is
stirring up this talk aren’t deadly.
Emanuel
still has significant support. Some of the people who previously were undecided
about him are now saying they don’t approve. But I’m wondering if things will
change in the coming two years that will put them back in the neutral column.
But
most importantly, who would dare to challenge Emanuel?
The
sad thing about the Chicago electorate is that we seem willing to accept
incumbents. We get suspicious of those people who want to “Throw the Bastards
out!,” even if we’re leading the screaming.
NOBODY
IS GOING to be willing to engage in a head-to-head run against Emanuel – except
for some fringe-mentality candidate who is going to justify his (or her)
politically-suicidal campaign on the grounds that they’re bringing up a pet
issue and inspiring a debate that otherwise would not take place.
That
is why the 2011 election cycle was so crucial for anyone with mayoral
aspirations.
Richard
M. Daley had stepped down, and the post was open. It could be a free-for-all
without the risk of upsetting an incumbent. Anybody who didn’t have the nerve
to take on Rahm Emanuel when he didn’t have the benefits of incumbency is
likely too cowardly to even dream of taking him on two years from now.
In
fact, there’s only one name I could think of that would have a chance of
beating Rahm in ’15. And that name is “Daley.”
WHETHER
IT WOULD be a return from retirement for Richard M., a decision by brother
William that “mayor” in 2015 would make more sense that “governor” next year,
or perhaps county Commissioner John (who has served on the county board as well
as the Illinois Senate) that he’d like to be a part of city government.
Maybe
Metropolitan Water Reclamation District board member Patrick Thompson (who
counts all three Daleys among his uncles, and old man Richard J. as his
grandfather) isn’t quite ready now – but he may be someday.
THOMPSON: The mayor in '27? |
It’s
something about that “Daley” name that just makes some Chicagoans think they
belong at City Hall.
Although
I’m not under the impression that any Daley is seriously thinking of running
for mayor. Rich isn’t coming out of retirement, and I doubt his brothers would
want to be bothered. They have different goals on their minds – although I’m
not convinced that William deserves to be thought of as a serious gubernatorial
candidate.
SO
WHO’S GOING to be the next mayor of Chicago? Probably the same one we already
have.
The
man’s ambitious enough (and full of himself) to the point where he probably
believes he’s benefitting the public. And nobody’s going to have the nerve to
challenge him – regardless of what any stinkin’ Tribune poll has to say!
-30-
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