Based
on figures from the Chicago Board of Elections, it would seem my observation
isn’t that far off – even though I have heard from some diehard backers of the
mayoral challengers who insist that contempt felt for Mayor Rahm Emanuel is going
to turn out the masses to vote against him!
BUT
THE FIGURES reported by the city elections board indicate the number of people
who have bothered thus far to show up at polling places across the city for
early voting is barely over half the total number who voted early in the 2011
municipal elections for mayor.
Admittedly,
there are still a few days left for people to cast ballots in advance of
Tuesday’s Election Day. But not that many.
My
guess is that 2015 will go into the local history books as a record low for
voter turnout. The reality of electoral politics is that when few people bother
to vote, the establishment candidate (meaning Emanuel) winds up winning.
He’s
got the campaign cash to ensure that voter turnout efforts find the kind of
people who don’t have hang-ups about his first four years as mayor AND get them
to actually show up to vote.
IT
SHOULD ALSO be noted that the 2014 election cycle for governor had record-high
numbers of people who used early voting centers, but then produced merely an
average voter turnout overall because the number of people who bothered to show
up at polling places was pathetic.
Those
who cared enough to vote have already bothered to do so. This isn’t exactly a
repeat of 1983 when record numbers of newly-registered black voters turned out
to put Harold Washington in Hizzoner’s office.
Although
it’s interesting to read that mayoral hopeful Willie Wilson is claiming to have
polls of his own that differ from all the others because he says they’re
ignoring large numbers of black voters who are all peeved by Emanuel’s actions.
But
even his own poll shows him finishing in third place – which would still make
him a “loser” since only the top two vote-getters advance to a run-off election
in the event Emanuel only gets 49.99999 percent (or less) of the vote.
WHAT
WE HAVE is an election cycle in which apathy rules. The few wards where there
are significant numbers of early voters (according to the elections board) are
the ones in which there are competitive aldermanic races.
In
the one ward I’m paying particular attention to (the 10th, down on
the city’s Southeast Side – I was born there and have relatives who still live
there), it’s probably more significant that candidate Susan Sadlowski Garza is
backing Jesus “Chuy” Garcia for mayor, rather than that he’s supporting the
former Chicago Teachers Union official for alderman.
Even
she may wind up splitting the support of opponents to incumbent Alderman John
Pope with the five other challengers – thereby making it possible for Pope to
gain a fifth term in the City Council through the same apathy that could keep
Emanuel as mayor.
People
are resorting to whatever tactics they can conceive of to try to stir up
interest amongst the apathetic.
WHICH
PROBABLY BEST explains the rant that Garcia engaged in earlier this week –
saying the teachers union will go on strike again IF Emanuel is re-elected as
mayor. Or the fact that Wilson put out a statement Wednesday saying he wants some direct face time with President Barack Obama, who will be in Chicago on Thursday to back Emanuel AND tout the new Pullman National Park.
Does
this mean we need Chuy in order to ensure the teachers don’t walk off the job
next fall and cause mass aggravation for parents of children whose daily
routines would be disrupted by such a strike?
Or
is it really just about reminding us of the fact that Emanuel’s tough talk
provoked the teachers union into a week-long strike back in 2012 – and that
some of the union officials have long memories and are just as capable of
carrying a grudge as is the mayor?
Six
more days until Election Day, and 41 more until the run-off – and then our
collective migrane headache comes to an end. At least until the ongoing Hillary
Clinton “will she or won’t she” kicks into high gear for 2016.
-30-
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