OBAMA: Influencing, or meddling in, Ill.? |
After
all, being able to say that the influence of the White House and Illinois’
political “big guy” (even though Rahm Emanuel thinks that niche belongs to him,
it doesn’t) is on your side is a mighty weapon.
FOR
OBAMA WOULDN’T be likely to do anything if he thought the cause was a loser.
After all, should the president be getting involved in local matters? If he
wanted to be a local power-broker, he would have sought a seat in the City
Council after serving eight years in the Illinois Senate – instead of going “up
and out” to Washington.
So
what should we think of the fact that Obama operatives told the Chicago
Sun-Times this weekend that the president himself wants the General Assembly to
change state laws so that gay couples can be married.
The
aide who spoke to the Sun-Times also said that if Obama were still in the state
Legislature, he would be a “yes” vote for any bill “that would treat all
Illinois couples equally.”
Yet
when I speak to people who are on the Statehouse scene, it seems that
uncertainty prevails. Gov. Pat Quinn has said he wants the General Assembly to
use the few days it has before the transition to a newly-elected Legislature on
Jan. 9 to pass something (anything!) that could allow officials to say they
have resolved the pension funding problem that has lingered in Illinois for
decades.
WILL
THERE EVEN be time to consider anything else during those three days that the
Senate and House of Representatives will be in session?
And
if there is time, will the personal hang-ups of certain legislators (and
political fear from others of actually having to take a stand on an issue) keep
this particular issue from getting enough support to advance to Quinn for final
review – and most likely, its approval?
A busy, or slow, Statehouse? Photo by State of Illinois |
During
my own education, I did a stint at the American University in Washington, D.C.,
where I recall several lectures trying to get us to comprehend the very reasons
why people “leak” information to news media.
For
some, it is their ego at work – “I know something important.” This is more likely
a trial balloon.
IF
IT TURNS out that the public response to what the Chicago Sun-Times has
published is negative, Obama and his aides can always backtrack away from it.
Perhaps they’ll even try to deny the president ever said such a thing (the newspaper
quotes an aide).
This
feels more like a test. It lets people who have an interest in the “gay
marriage” issue gauge the support level and figure out if the backlash will be
too intense to allow the issue to move forward now.
Although
I know some legislators who say that bringing this issue up now on a short time
period could be the best way to pass it – since there won’t be all kinds of
time for the issue to linger and have its critics poke and prod at it until it
deflates into nothingness.
And
as the Sun-Times pointed out in their story, some of the political people who
might otherwise be afraid of touching the issue can now use the president’s
support as political cover for themselves.
I
DO BELIEVE this is an issue that will come to Illinois. Considering that I’m
old enough to remember the 1996 moment when the then-Republican General
Assembly passed a measure that specifically said gay marriages were NOT
legitimate in Illinois, it shows just how much we have changed.
But
when? I don’t have a clue.
Perhaps
Barack Obama is a signal that the time is now in the next week-and-a-half. Then
again, the sense of political inertia that tells legislators, “Never put off ‘til
tomorrow what you can do next session” may well be strong-enough to tell the
president “Pipe down!” for now.
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