But
I still wonder if Alvarez’ chances of political survival are based on the idea
that all the people who can’t stand her won’t be able to unite behind a single challenger.
BECAUSE
AS OF now, there are two people saying they’ll run against her in the March election
for the Democratic nomination for state’s attorney.
We
have Kim Foxx, whom it seems is the preference of Cook County Board President
Toni Preckwinkle, and Donna More, herself a career prosecutor and part of the
legal community.
I
found it amusing to learn of a Public Policy Polling poll this week that
actually had Alvarez with 33 percent voter support in the lead.
It
placed Foxx in second place with 24 percent, and More with 11 percent at this point
in time.
ACTUALLY,
I SHOULD write that Foxx is in third place, because “undecided” was actually in
second place 32 percent. Which is understandable – it’s early. How many
rational people have given any thought to the March primary elections?
Only
the political geeks (such as myself) who can’t comprehend that real people have
lives and won’t give much thought to down-ballot races for another couple of
months.
It’s
always possible that a Foxx/More brawl could wind up splitting people so much
that the people who always are inclined to back an incumbent could be just
enough to win this election.
Particularly
if it is true what I hear that More has the potential to tap into wealthy
contributors and have the campaign fund that could allow her to be competitive.
We probably shouldn’t presume that it would be “Foxx” finishing in second place
in this election cycle.
ALTHOUGH
IT’S ALSO possible that some of those contributors could come back to bite More
in the behind. She’s already drawing criticism for the fact that she was one of
Gov. Bruce Rauner’s financial supporters in the 2014 gubernatorial election cycle.
Making
some say her claims of being a Democratic partisan are nothing but a crock if
she was one of the people who “sold out” Pat Quinn to give us the current
governor and the budget stalemate that makes Illinois government the peak of
our political foolishness these days.
But
I’m not ruling her out, because I don’t doubt some of those people who were
itching for a political statement would view More as providing a shakeup
similar to what Rauner thinks he’s doing at the state government level.
Then
again, maybe Foxx will be the second place finisher and More will wind up being
the person who deprives her of enough Alvarez opposition votes to actually be
capable of winning the election.
OF
COURSE, IT’S still early. It’s 90 or so days to March 15 and the primary that
probably will be dominated by thoughts of presidential hopefuls. There still is
time for both Foxx and More to fall into the political trap of saying something
stupid that gets exaggerated into a major scandal that allegedly shows up unfit
either woman is for public office.
Not
that I expect Alvarez’ perception to change. I suspect the people who always
were opposed to her will remain so, and there’s nothing she can do to improve.
She just has to avoid sinking herself lower than she already is.
Because
she’s not that far from “36 percent.” That’s the level of support that Harold
Washington got in the 1983 primary for mayor. A majority of Chicagoans that
time around desperately wanted – for whatever reason – either Jane Byrne or
Richard M. Daley.
While
I’m not comparing Anita to Harold, let’s be honest. This primary could become a
brawl between Foxx and More that winds up maintaining the status quo.
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