Will suburban incident ... |
I
saw countless people use this incident to claim it as all the more evidence of
why we should dump Alvarez when we get the chance come the March 15 Democratic
primary.
BUT
THERE ALSO was another common theme I noticed, and it is the reason I wonder if
we’re going to have a whole mess of peeved voters come March 16 who are going
to say they voted against Anita, only to have her get re-nominated.
... impact state's attorney's election? |
For
there are two challengers to Alvarez for the Democratic nomination for state’s
attorney – and this threatens to become a campaign with a racial split that
could see Anita get more votes than either; even if not enough to claim a voter
majority.
There
are some people who say Alvarez’ incompetence is all the evidence we need to
justify a vote for Donna More. She seems to have some political people of
electoral influence on her side, and prominent criminal attorney Sam Adams,
Jr., came out publicly in her favor.
ALVAREZ: Benefits of incumbency |
Yet
there are other political people of an African-American racial flavor who seem
to be equally vociferous in claiming that Alvarez’ incompetence is all the
evidence we need to justify a vote for Kim Foxx.
FOXX
IS A former chief of staff to Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle, who
is the big cheese giving her political backing enough to think seriously of
running.
FOXX: Is Preckwinkle backing enough? |
While
More is a former assistant state’s attorney and prosecutor herself who can
claim the potential financial support of Gov. Bruce Rauner and the other
wealthy people who backed his campaign.
In
short, she could have the kind of money that allows her to be competitive.
MORE: Could she be the North Side's favorite? |
While
I have heard some observations (which are predictable) that Foxx’ political
reach doesn’t extend beyond the South and West side neighborhoods in Chicago,
and perhaps those southern suburbs (Foxx herself lives these days in suburban
Flossmoor) that have majority African-American populations.
THIS
COULD BECOME the election where all the white people who want to dump Anita
Alvarez go for More, while all the black people pick Foxx.
As
for the Latino segment of the electorate, nobody is going to dominate them. Not
even Alvarez, whose own background as a career prosecutor in the state’s
attorney’s office who gained the top post in the 2008 election cycle makes the
more activist of Latino voters suspicious.
It
really could turn out that if one candidate cannot ultimately dominate the
Alvarez opposition (I don’t doubt that many people upset over the death of
Laquan McDonald blame her even more than they blame Mayor Rahm Emanuel), the
challengers could split about 65 percent while Anita could wind up winning with
about 35 percent of the vote.
And
the fact that a videotape exists of suburban Lynwood police officer Brandin
Frederickson cold-cocking a criminal suspect in cuffs inside the police station
won’t matter all that much.
-30-
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