QUINN: The officially preferred Dem |
Because
that is what happened Friday. The Democratic Party’s 50 ward committeemen and
30 township committeemen officially slated Gov. Pat Quinn for re-election.
PARTY
OFFICIALS WILL be required to tout the campaign of Quinn, even though William
Daley (the son and brother of former Chicago mayors) is also in the running –
and there is speculation that Kwame Raoul (a state legislator from the Hyde
Park neighborhood) may get into the primary race.
This
is the same Pat Quinn who has had approval ratings of about 25 percent. There
are those who are determined to believe that Quinn is beatable by anybody who
challenges him.
Yet
most of those people have their own partisan interests. They WANT to believe
Quinn is a loser.
When
one erases those people from the equation, the fact that the strongest
Democratic Party organization in Illinois would decide to throw its lot in with
the incumbent is such an obvious decision.
IT
IS THE reason that Bill Daley (the former Commerce secretary and White House
chief of staff) didn’t even bother showing up for the slating session held
Friday morning.
He
can save face by saying he wasn’t even interested in getting the support of the
organization that was the reason his father, Richard J., was “the Boss!!!” of
local politics. It allowed him to decide just who even got to run for office –
knowing full-well that the committeemen of his era would rubber-stamp his
choice.
Things
are different today. The party slating doesn’t mean what it used to. And I’m sure the people who are eager to dump Pat
Quinn are going to ignore what happened on Friday.
DALEY: Not about to give up campaign |
But
the reality is that political parties always prefer to endorse an incumbent.
The idea being that picking somebody else is an admission that somebody screwed
up in voting for the incumbent to begin with.
AS
FOR THE fact that Quinn has such low approval ratings, I don’t get as shaken up
by those low levels the governor receives.
Because
the fact is that most people these days don’t think highly of any government
official. Anybody currently in office these days seems to draw these record-low
levels of support.
Illinois
House Speaker Michael Madigan, D-Chicago, is the guy who has had approval
ratings as low as 16 percent. The “Daley” name is in one of its lulls when it
comes to support (although I won’t be surprised if the next generation produces
a politician or two).
I
suspect most people don’t have a clue who their state legislator or member of
Congress is. Because if they did, those officials would have lower approval
ratings.
SO
THE IDEA that Cook County Democrats went for Pat Quinn? Not surprising. As one
south suburban state legislator told me recently, “At least Pat Quinn listens
to us and sort of has the right idea.”
Compared
to Daley, who is developing a reputation amongst some people as being so
business-oriented (he likes to boast that his stints as chairman of JPMorgan
Chase and on the Fannie Mae board are more significant than his political
posts) that people wonder if he wishes he could really be a Republican.
If
there really was serious support for Daley and a split in the Cook County
Democrats, what would have happened on Friday was a lengthy debate behind
closed doors – with an eventual public announcement that the party was not
going to slate either candidate.
It
would have remained neutral – which would have allowed the committeemen to
publicly support whomever they wanted come the March primary election.
INSTEAD,
IT MEANS the official Daley support will be muted. Unofficial support will
continue (people do, after all, have a right to express themselves). But for
the official backing of party officials, Daley is going to have to turn to the
other 101 counties.
Slating not the same as when HE was in charge |
And
the fact is that those Democratic Party organizations don’t have the numbers or
the strength to turn out the vote the way the Cook Dems do.
Not
that I’m convinced Quinn achieved a significant plus in his desires to serve
another four years as Illinois governor. There may be a Republican field of
candidates to offer an alternative, but I’m convinced this election cycle is
really one where the winner will be the candidate whom the voters despise the
least.
That
may well be Pat Quinn. You never know.
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