HUTCHINSON: Big backing? |
State
Sen. Toi Hutchinson of Olympia Fields? Former state Rep. (and Cook County
official) Robin Kelly of Matteson? Or former Congresswoman Debbie Halvorson of
Crete?
NOTE
THE KEY to their backgrounds is that they’re all suburban-based – which is
really what the bulk of this particular congressional district is about. The
fact that it was represented by a Chicago resident like Jackson for so long is
the real anomaly.
Now
I know some people who are following this particular campaign are going to
complain that I’m missing the point in reducing the race down to these three
candidates.
There
will be 17 people to pick from for those people who show up at a polling place
for the Feb. 26 Democratic primary special election (with another five people
to pick from for those individuals who persist in using a Republican primary
ballot).
And
yes, there are some men who are worth taking seriously, on a certain level.
YET
THE BIG surprise of this particular election cycle is that none of those men
have done much to put themselves forward.
Personally,
I thought state Sen. Napoleon Harris, D-Flossmoor, would have been more of a
factor, in part because he has an ego and because he is the professional
athlete (he played football with Oakland, Minnesota and Kansas City) with
business interests who is capable of self-financing a campaign.
KELLY: She needs a political post |
He
could easily have forced his face into our political awareness, thereby giving
himself name recognition. But he hasn’t. His silence (although some might
consider it political good taste) has kept him from being a factor, and it wasn't the world's largest surprise when he dropped out on Wednesday to back Kelly.
Then,
there’s 9th Ward Alderman Anthony Beale – whose campaigning has
tried to make much of the fact that he’s the only candidate of significance who
comes from Chicago.
AS
THOUGH HE wants the Chicago portion of the Illinois Second Congressional
district to turn out in such force that it overwhelms the rest of the district
– which stretches from the Hyde Park neighborhood south to the
Kankakee/Iroquois county line.
Just
two problems. One is that the district’s population, at best, is 25 percent
Chicago-based. It is true that the just over half of the district that is
suburban Cook County based is more likely to be aligned with Chicago than rural
Will or Kankakee counties.
But
there’s a good chance that Beale – if he survives the ballot challenge now
pending before the Illinois State Board of Elections – will be irrelevant
outside of Chicago.
There’s
also the fact that he gets bashed for his part of Chicago, which consists of
the Roseland and Pullman neighborhoods; both of which are among the parts of
the city that only locals bother to visit.
I
KNOW ONE suburban official who openly says any political official from Roseland
has no business representing anywhere else – on account of how much that
neighborhood has declined.
And
as for Mel Reynolds, I seriously doubt that former Congressman gets much more
than the 1 percent of the vote that the bulk of the 17 candidates would
consider a sign of overwhelming support.
Which
is why we’re down to Halvorson, Hutchinson and Kelly – the latter of whom has
some significant backing from Obama-type political people (although not the
president himself).
HALVORSON: A comeback? |
While
Hutchinson managed to get the endorsement this week of Kelly’s former boss in
Cook County, board President Toni Preckwinkle herself.
HUTCHINSON
EVEN MANAGED to name six fellow state senators who support her, although that
was likely in response to the fact that one-time congressional candidate Donne
Trotter gave his support to Kelly – who is trying to turn this campaign into a
single issue (firearms) one, but may find that she makes herself equally as
irrelevant outside of her home base as the Beale campaign likely will be.
There
also are people who are more than willing to give their support to Halvorson –
not so much for the angle that many want to believe (the only white candidate
in a 17-person field) because they actually like the idea of a member of
Congress who wouldn’t be the ultimate political freshman.
Although
a part of me still thinks that her support would have to come from the very
people who dumped her from Congress in 2010 – most of whom think they achieved
something of significance with her electoral loss and aren’t about to send her
back to Congress under any circumstances.
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