TRUMP: Lead w/o majority means delegates pick |
Personally,
I think it’s just a matter of simple mathematics. Trump didn’t pay attention in
school. Either that, or he’s just a whiny little wuss who ought to back out of
the campaign sooner, rather than later.
WHAT’S
AT STAKE is that the delegates being chosen in the various elections and
caucuses held across the country in recent months will gather this summer at
the Republican National Convention in Cleveland.
At
that time, they will pick the party’s nominee.
Remember
back to the time when there were more than a dozen candidates seeking the
nomination? Many of those people have backed out so long ago we’ve forgotten
they were ever in the running.
But
we’re still not down to a head-to-head race between two people. There’s still a
split. As of this week, Trump had 743 pledged delegates, but may fall short of the majority 1,237 needed to have a majority.
WHILE
IT IS true that Trump, the New York real estate developer who knows little about
the ways of electoral politics, has won many primaries and caucuses, he’s
winning by plurality.
He’s
getting more support than any other one candidate, but all the candidates
getting support from people who want Anybody But Trump on the ballot come
November out-total Donald’s support.
Now
that we really are down to just a few, it seems the powers-that-be who don’t
want Trump are willing to take seriously the idea of a Ted Cruz presidential campaign.
Even though on the ideological nut-scale he’s more far gone than Trump is.
CRUZ: Won't wither away! |
To
some people, the proof that the Republican Party has lost touch with real
people is the fact that its two most credible candidates at this point are Cruz
and Trump. Out of that field of 18 or so that once was in the running, these
two ideological loons are the ones who have a chance at actually winning the
primaries.
THE
POINT IS that if Trump were really as strong as he thinks we all ought to
presume he is, he’d have the majority – or be well on his way to having them by
the time of the nominating convention.
Because
he’ll possibly fall short of that 50 percent-plus-one level of support, we may
actually get to see a nominating convention which is more than just a pep rally
meant to confirm the election results from across the nation. Those delegates
(some of whom we chose directly and some of whom are the superdelegates whom we
elected to other political positions) will wind up deciding.
RYAN: He says 'no,' but could he still be picked? |
That’s
the American Way!
Simple
mathematics. Whoever gets majority support. And if Trump is truly the classic
dealmaker he envisions himself to be, who’s to say he can’t sway delegates not
now on his side to back him?
OR
DOES TRUMP acknowledge on some level that he’s a con artist of sorts whom a
majority of people in his own political party (along with everybody in the opposition
party) wants nothing to do with? If Trump gets the math, he gets the win. If he
doesn’t he loses. That’s only fair.
The
same argument can be made on the Democratic side, where some people are
complaining that Bernie Sanders isn’t making any gains despite his string of
primary and caucus victories in recent weeks.
SANDERS: 'The Bern' won't incinerate Hillary? |
Hillary
Clinton still has more delegates and potential for large numbers of delegates
that could push her into the majority that would turn the Democratic Nominating
Convention in Philadelphia into a coronation, of sorts. A return of the House
of Clinton (and be sure to hide the girls, because it means Bill’s back!).
Because
in the end, Trump and Sanders seem to think their personalities ought to
overpower the math – which says majority rules. That's the REAL American Way!
-30-
EDITOR’S
NOTE: I’ll admit that back when the Republican field of candidates was 18, the
two that stood out in my mind were Donald Trump and Ted Cruz – they were the
two who struck me as so far out there. The fact that they have prevailed over
more rational candidates makes me realize why I could never be a part of the
modern-day Republican Party.
No comments:
Post a Comment