Remember
the film starring Bill Murray where he played a weather forecaster who had to
keep reliving Groundhog Day until he managed to get it right (as in get the
girl, played by Andie McDowell)?
WELL
LOOKING AT the data available thus far for the election to determine who
succeeds Barack Obama when he steps down from office in January of 2017 makes
it seem like we’re going to relive all the past presidential elections of
recent years.
We’re
going to see which candidate finally “gets it right,” and which candidates are
doomed to yet another presidential failure.
There
are the Rasmussen Reports polls that came out in recent days that would indicate
we’re going to see Hillary R. Clinton run for the Democrats against GOP nominee
Mitt Romney.
The
Democratic primary poll indicates that Hillary has this thing already wrapped
up – even though she has yet to actually declare herself to be a candidate for president
come next year!
WHILE
ROMNEY HAS more support than any other Republican whose name is being bandied
about for the GOP presidential nomination.
Although
with Romney supposedly at only 24 percent support in that poll and 10 other
people also getting support on the Republican side, it really feels like the
2012 presidential election cycle all over again.
Remember
how each of the other candidates had a stint in which they were the favored
candidate, until finally support convalesced behind Romney. Almost as though
Republicans were desperate to find someone, anyone, who they could support
instead of Mitt.
His
presidential nomination that year ultimately felt like an act of desperation,
rather than a sense of anybody that the public had any faith in to run the
country. No wonder he wound up getting his clock cleaned, so to speak, by Obama.
WHILE
HILLARY IS the overwhelming favorite of Democrats, what with 59 percent support
and six other candidates all lagging way behind.
The
sense of Hillary being inevitable, which was the attitude she tried to portray
in 2008 until Obama himself managed to win enough primaries early on that her
primary coronation turned into a brawl that she ultimately fell short at.
The
part of that poll I find amusing is that Vice President Joe Biden only gets 6
percent support – even though he holds the title that usually enables a
candidacy to be the pre-emptive favorite.
It
seems his chances of success depend on Hillary deciding she doesn’t want to be
bothered (which is always a possibility) with the ordeal of a campaign. Then,
Biden can beat up on people like Mario Cuomo’s son – who it seems takes 2
percent presidential support at this time.
ALTHOUGH
I CAN remember past election cycles in which the late New York governor would
tease us beyond belief before deciding that he wasn’t about to run for
governor, after all!
Will
the younger Cuomo (also a New York governor) be just like his father?
It
is interesting to see how the campaigns are likely to try to differentiate themselves
this time around. The Washington Post published a pair of stories – Clinton may
become the first woman to achieve the presidency, but her campaign backers are
a collection of stodgy old white guys.
While
Romney, the one-time governor of Massachusetts whose father was once governor
of Michigan, has decided to relocate to a state with a more favorable political
climate for a candidate who wants the votes of conservative ideologues.
HE’S
NOW A native of Utah, which may work out well for him since his Mormon
religious faith is not so exotic there. Perhaps he’ll claim he never really fit
in with his Midwestern or New England roots.
Just
as how the George Bushes (both H.W. and W.) would have us think they are Texas
natives, rather than a pair of Ivy Leaguers at heart!
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